PROSPECTS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF EXPORTS OF SUGAR AND SUGAR PRODUCTS
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
Abstract. The purpose is to study the current state and features of the development of the world sugar market, develop proposals for supporting exports in the commodity group “Sugar and sugar confectionery” at the regional level in the new conditions of foreign economic activity. Methods. In the course of the study, statistical, analytical, graphical methods, Porter's 5 competitive forces analysis method, as well as regression analysis and expert survey methods were used. Results. This study clarifies the parameters of the global market for sugar products; the competitive positions of Russia in the studied market were analyzed taking into account the situation in 2022, the rating of regions in the export of sugar products was considered, in particular, the state of exports in the Stavropol Territory was studied. Based on the theory of M. Porter, strategies for entering foreign markets in the context of the Sugar and Sugar Confectionery segments were determined and measures for their implementation were proposed. A forecast was developed for further development in certain segments of foreign trade in sugar products in the world, in Russia and the Stavropol Territory, scenarios for the development of exports of sugar products in the Stavropol Territory were substantiated. The novelty of the results lies in clarifying the positions and prospects of Russian exports in the new conditions, taking into account the generalization of the opinions of experts at the regional and federal levels; substantiating of directions for choosing a competitive strategy for Russia when selling goods in the context of two segments (“Sugar” and “Confectionery from sugar”) on the world market; substantiation of the forecast values of exports of sugar and sugar confectionery in the world, Russia and the Stavropol Territory until 2025 using trend analysis; development of development scenarios as part of a strategy to increase the export of sugar and sugar confectionery in the Stavropol Territory.

Keywords:
sugar and sugar confectionery, import, export, Russian Federation, Stavropol Territory, countries, price, production, strategy, scenarios
Text
Publication text (PDF): Read Download
References

1. Federal'nyy proekt «Eksport razvitiya APK» [Elektronnyy resurs]. URL: https://mcx.gov.ru/ministry/departments/departament-informatsionnoy-politiki-i-spetsialnykh-proektov/industry-information/info-federalnyi-proekt-eksport (data obrascheniya: 12.01.2023).

2. Voronina V. M. Proizvodstvo i potreblenie sahara v Rossii: sostoyanie, tendencii, perspektivy // Menedzhment v APK. 2021. № 2. S. 5-10.

3. Loseva A. V., Stepanenko I. Yu. Mirovaya saharnaya promyshlennost': sostoyanie, tendencii, perspektivy // Menedzhment v APK. 2021. № 1. S. 22-31.

4. Sidak M. V. Mirovoy rynok sahara: predvaritel'nye itogi sezona 2018/19 i prognozy na 2019/2020 g. // Sahar. 2019. № 3. S. 12-15.

5. Sidak M. V. Statisticheskiy analiz i prognozirovanie razvitiya rynka sahara Rossii: dis. … kand. ekon. nauk. Moskva: Rossiyskiy ekonomicheskiy universitet imeni G. V. Plehanova, 2020. 275 s.

6. Otinova M. E., Polunina N. Yu. Eksport sahara - odno iz prioritetnyh napravleniy razvitiya APK Rossii // Ekonomicheskie otnosheniya. 2019. T. 9. № 2. S. 1071-1084.

7. Raza S. A., Guesmi R., Belaid N. Time-frequency causality and connectedness between oil price shocks and the world food prices // Research in International Business and Finance. 2022. Vol. 62. Article number 101730. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101730

8. Fernandes-Diaz J. M., Morey B. Interdependence among agricultural commodity markets, macroeconomic factors, crude oil and commodity index // Research in International Business and Finance. 2019. Vol. 47. Pp. 174-194.

9. Chernyshova E. A. Mirovoy rynok sahara kak konkurentnaya sreda dlya rossiyskogo eksporta // Ekonomika i upravlenie: problemy, resheniya. 2020. T. 3. № 8. S. 96-104.

10. Kalinicheva E. Yu., Uvarova M. N., Kustova N. A., Zhilina L. N. Monitoring rynka sahara // Vestnik agrarnoy nauki. 2022. № 1 (94). S. 85-90.

11. McGree S., Schreider S., Prakash B. On the use of mean and extreme climate indices to predict sugar yield in western Fiji // Weather and Climate Extremes. 2020. Vol. 29. Article number 10021. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2020.100271

12. Carter C. A., Schaefer R. A., Scheittrum D. Raising cane: Hedging calamity in Australian sugar // Journal of Commodity Markets. 2021. Vol. 21. Article number 100126. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcomm.2020.100126.

13. Chernysheva E. A. Tendencii i perspektivy realizacii eksportnogo potenciala Rossii na mirovom rynke sahara: dis. …kand. ekon. nauk. Moskva: Moskovskiy gosudarstvennyy institut mezhdunarodnyh otnosheniy (universitet) Ministerstva inostrannyh del Rossiyskoy Federacii, 2021. 198 s.

14. Fazrahmanov I. I., Luk'yanova M. T. Eksport i import sahara: perspektivy razvitiya // Vestnik BGAU. 2017. № 1. S. 140-143.

15. Fujimoto T., Watanabe M. Comparison of the price adjustment program and subsidy scheme in Japan: Evaluation of domestic sugar support policy to internalize positive externalities // Japan and the World Economy. 2020. Vol. 61. Article number 101118. DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japwor.2022.101118.

16. Kiselev S. V., Romashkin R. A., Belugin A. Yu. Agroprodovol'stvennyy eksport Rossii do 2030 g.: prognoz na osnove modeli chastichnogo ravnovesiya // Zhurnal Novoy ekonomicheskoy associacii. 2022. № 4 (56). S. 69-90.

17. Gladkov I. S. Mezhdunarodnaya torgovlya 2021: na pod'eme // Ekonomicheskie i social'no-gumanitarnye issledovaniya. 2022. № 2 (34). S. 17-25.

18. Layshi Yu. Mirovoy rynok syr'ya i prodovol'stviya [Elektronnyy resurs] URL: https://spravochnick.ru/mezhdunarodnye_otnosheniya/mirovoy_rynok_syrya_i_prodovolstviya (data obrascheniya: 22.04.2023).

19. Shabalina L. V., Bezzhon E. O. Analiz mirovogo rynka prodovol'stviya v razreze klyuchevyh segmentov // Torgovlya i rynok. 2021. T. 2. Ch. 1. № 3 (59). C. 184-196.

20. International Trade Center Trade Map (ITC Trade Map). 2022. Trade map database [e-resource]. URL: https://www.trademap.org/Index.aspx (date of reference: 16.01.2023).

21. Trading economics [e-resource]. URL: https://tradingeconomics.com (date of reference: 16.01.2023).

22. Itogi 2022: sahar i saharnaya svekla [Elektronnyy resurs]. URL: https://agrovesti.net/lib/industries/sugar-beet/itogi-2022-sakhar-i-sakharnaya-svekla.html (data obrascheniya: 02.05.2023).

23. Oficial'nyy sayt Upravleniya federal'noy sluzhby gosudarstvennoy statistiki Rossii [Elektronnyy resurs]. URL: https://rosstat.gov.ru (data obrascheniya 22.12.2022).

24. Chto budet s cenami v Rossii [Elektronnyy resurs]. URL: https://www.forbes.ru/biznes/489457-cto-budet-s-cenami-na-sahar-v-rossii (data obrascheniya: 02.05.2023).

25. IKAR ocenil eksportnyy potencial sahara v sezone 2022/2023 na urovne 250 tys. tonn [Elektronnyy resurs]. URL: https://pole.rf/journal/publication/1564 (data obrascheniya: 02.05.2023).

26. Uchastnikam VED [Elektronnyy resurs]. URL: https://customs.gov.ru/uchastnikam-ved (data obrascheniya: 20.01.2023).

27. Eksport iz Rossii [Elektronnyy resurs]. URL://ru-stat.com/date-M201701-201712/RU/export/world/01 (data obrascheniya: 22.12.2022).

28. Golivcova N. N. Strategicheskiy menedzhment: ucheb.-prakt. posobie. Sankt-Peterburg: Izdatel'sko-poligraficheskiy centr Sankt-Peterburgskogo universiteta tehnologii i dizayna (IPC SpbGUTD, 2016. 49 s.

29. Jäkel I. C. Product appeal, differences in tastes, and export performance: Evidence for Danish chocolate and confectionery // International Journal of Industrial Organization. 2019. Vol. 63. Pp. 417-459.

Login or Create
* Forgot password?